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Emerging Perspectives on Judgments and Decision Research

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This volume offers answers by a top group of experts to the question “Where is judgment and decision research heading as we forge into the 21st century?” the chapters represent state-of-the-art perspectives developed by some of the most innovative thinkers in the field.

The book is organized around five themes: fortifying traditional models of decision making – looking at traditional topics in new ways; elaborating cognitive processes in decision making – exploring the interplay between decision research and cognitive psychology; integrating affect and motivation in decision making – relating how affect and motivation interact with decision making; understanding social and cultural influences on decision making – recognizing the importance of social and cultural contexts for decisions; and facing the challenge of real-world complexity in decision research – seeing the challenges and rewards of research outside the laboratory. The book concludes with a commentary based on an analysis and synthesis of the new ideas presented here.

 

CONTENT

Introduction: where to decision making Sandra L. Schneider and James Shanteau

Part I. Fortifying Traditional Models of Decision Making:
1. Hard decisions, bad decisions: on decision quality and decision aiding J. Frank Yates, Elizabeth S. Veinott and Andrea L. Patalano
2. Rationality in choice under certainty and uncertainty R. Duncan Luce
3. Generalization across people, procedures, and predictions: violations of stochastic dominance and coalescing Michael Binbaum and Teresa Martin
4. Can l’homme eclaire be fast and frugal? Reconciling Bayesianism and bounded rationality Laura Martignon and Stefan Krauss

Part II. Elaborating Cognitive Processes in Decision Making:
5. Memory as a fundamental heuristic for decision making Michael R. P. Dougherty, Scott D. Gronlund and Charles F. Gettys
6. Comprehension and decision making David A. Rettinger and Reid Hastie
7. Memory, development, and rationality: an integrative theory of judgment and decision making Valerie F. Reyna, Farrell J. Lloyd and Charles J. Brainerd
8. Integrating themes from cognitive and social cognitive development into the study of judgment and decision making Beth A. Haines and Colleen Moore

Part III. Incorporating Affect and Motivation in Decision Making:
9. Values, affect and processes in human decision making: a differentiation and consolidation theory perspective Ola Svenson
10. Judgment and decision making: the dance of affect and reason Melissa Finucane, Ellen Peters and Paul Slovic
11. Some ways in which positive affect facilitates decision making and judgment Alice Isen and Aparna A. Labroo
12. What do people really want? Goals and context in decision making Sandra L. Schneider and Monica D. Barnes

Part IV. Understanding Social and Cultural Influences on Decision:
13. Bridging individual, interpersonal, and institutional approaches to judgment and decision making: the impact of accountability on cognitive bias Jennifer S. Lerner and Philip E. Tetlock
14. Cognitions, preferences, and social sharedness: past, present, and future directions in group decision making Tatsuya Kameda, R. Scott Tindale and James Davis
15. The accentuation principle in social judgment: a connectionist reappraisal J. Richard Eiser
16. The socio-cultural contexts of decision making in organizations Mark F. Peterson, Shaila Miranda, Peter B. Smith and Valerie M. Haskell

Part V. Facing the Challenge of Real-World Complexity in Decisions:
17. The naturalistic decision making perspective Rebecca Pliske and Gary Klein
18. Command style and team performance in dynamic decision making tasks Julia Clancy, Glenn Elliott, Tobias Ley, Jim McLennan, Mary Omodei, Einar Thorsteinsson and Alexander Wearing
19. How can you tell if someone is an expert? Performance-based assessment of expertise James Shanteau, David Weiss, Rickey Thomas and Julia Pounds
Commentary. Optimists, pessimists, and realists Michael Doherty.

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